Back around 2014 many people, me included, were commenting on the discrepancy between climate models and observations. In a report for the Fraser Institute I showed the following graph:The HadCRUT4 series (black) was then dipping below the 95% lower bound of the model distribution. The IPCC itself in the 5th Assessment Report (2013) noted that out of 114 model runs, 111 had overstated observed warming since the late 1990s. That same year, Hans von Storch told Der Spiegel thatIf things continue … [Read more...]
A Potpourri of Interesting Articles
Just been too busy to write much in the way of blog posts lately, but here are some articles I've thought particularly well worth sharing lately: Falling Sea Level: The Critical Factor in 2016 Great Barrier Reef Bleaching! by Jim Steele. "It is puzzling why the recent 2017 publication in Nature, Global Warming And Recurrent Mass Bleaching Of Corals by Hughes et al. ignored the most critical factor affecting the 2016 severe bleaching along the northern Great Barrier Reef – the regional fall … [Read more...]
Did the Pause End, or Did El Niño Interrupt It?
While reading Cornwall Alliance Senior Fellow Dr. Roy W. Spencer's "UAH Global Temperature Update for January, 2017: +0.30 deg. C," I happened to notice that the anomaly for the globe as a whole for January 2017 was identical to that of January 2015, at 0.3˚C. Then I eyeballed the anomalies for the intervening months in the table Roy provided and noticed quickly how prominently the effect of the super-El Niño that ran from late 2015 through most of 2016 was. In light of widespread questions … [Read more...]
Why Was March 2016 the Warmest March in the Satellite Record?
UAH Principal Research Scientist and Cornwall Alliance Senior Fellow Dr. Roy W. Spencer just posted the monthly UAH satellite temperature update on his blog, and on global average, last month was the warmest March since satellite monitoring began in 1979. Predictably, climate scaremongers are hailing this as proof positive that our evil emissions of evil carbon dioxide from evil fossil fuels are driving us inexorably (Slate says we've "just reached a terrifying milestone"!) toward the tipping … [Read more...]
Ding, Dong, “The Pause” Is Dead—Or Is It?
In the midst of a strong El Niño, Lord Christopher Monckton of Brenchley reports that the "pause" in global warming, last counted at 18 years 9 months (through October 2015), shortened by December's end to 18 years 8 months. "The Pause" may continue to shorten through 2016 if, as usual, the second in a pair of El Niño years is warmer than the first, and 2016 turns out to be, as Roy Spencer predicts, the warmest in the satellite record (which excludes the probably warmer 1930s and the definitely … [Read more...]
