Everybody knows “climate change” leads to increased extreme weather events, right? After all, the Environmental Defense Fund, Earth Justice, Carbon Brief, the Royal Society, and the National Academies of Science all say so. But there’s a problem. Nature disagrees.

Remember this famous graph by Cornwall Alliance Senior Fellow Dr. Roy W. Spencer?

That was just about what was happening with global temperature. As you can see, up through 2013, over 95% of climate models predicted more warming than observed—much more. And after that, the magnitude of error grew with the latest generation of models. Sound science revises theories when observations contradict them. There’s no better evidence than the failure of climate-alarmist modelers to do so that what they do rests on unsound science.

It’s not just global temperature that refuses to comply with climate alarmists’ predictions. Extreme weather events are recalcitrant, too, as Larry Hamlin documents in “2022 Global Wide Hurricane Season Ends with Weakest Storm Levels of the Last 42 Years.” Last year, global hurricanes, measured in terms of accumulated cyclone energy, were at their lowest strength levels in 42 years, and the overall trend is down.

The same is true whether one focuses on the northern hemisphere, the southern hemisphere, or the North Atlantic Ocean.

Likewise, the trend of total count of weather disasters 2000–2021 is down, as are global financial losses as percent of GDP 1990–2022. So are annual counts of U.S. tornadoes, 2005–2022; of strong tornadoes, 1970–2020.

It’s long past time for the public to turn a deaf ear to climate-alarmist claims.

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