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Researchers Reverse Stance on Link Between Global Warming and Hurricane Intensity

by Michael Asher

April 13, 2008

Author of the theory that global warming breeds stronger hurricanes recants his view

Noted Hurricane Expert Kerry Emanuel has publicly reversed his stance on the impact of Global Warming on Hurricanes. Saying “The models are telling us something quite different from what nature seems to be telling us,” Emanuel has released new research indicating that even in a rapidly warming world, hurricane frequency and intensity will not be substantially affected.

“The results surprised me,” says Emanuel, one of the media’s most quoted figures on the topic.

The view that global warming has limited impact on hurricane strength has been previously reported in numerous DailyTech articles.

Emanuel, professor of Atmospheric Science at MIT, is the author of numerous books and research papers on climate change. For over twenty years, he has argued that global warming breeds more frequent and stronger storms. In fact, his 1987 paper is often cited as the first appearance of the theory itself.

His 2005 research — published just one month before Hurricane Katrina struck — made world headlines, and was heralded as the “final proof” that Global Warming was already having severe impacts on daily lives. Overnight, Emanuel became a media darling. The following year, Time Magazine named him to their “100 People Who Shape Our World” list.

In 2006, Al Gore used an image of a smokestack spawning a hurricane to promote his movie, An Inconvenient Truth.

Emanuel’s newest work, co-authored with two other researchers, simulates hurricane conditions nearly 200 years in the future. The research — the first to mesh global climate models with small-scale high-resolution simulations of individual storms — found that while storm strength rises slightly in some areas, it falls in others — and the total number of worldwide storms actually declines slightly.

Emanuel’s reversal is certain to reverberate through political circles as well; many politicians and candidates are using the hurricane threat to compel action on climate change.

 

Featured Image Courtesy of Vichaya Kiatying-Angsulee/Freedigitalphotos.net

Dated: April 13, 2008

Tagged With: Al Gore, Global Warming, Hurricane, Kerry Emanuel
Filed Under: Climate & Energy, Climate Policy, Global Warming Science

About Michael Asher

DailyTech.com

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Future Speaking Engagements

June 18-21, 2025–Dallas, TX

Cornwall Alliance will be a host of the Association of Classical Christian Schools’ (ACCS) annual Repairing the Ruins conference in Dallas, TX, and will have an exhibit booth.

Details and registration can be found HERE.

September 19-20–Arlington, VA

Dr Beisner will represent the Cornwall Alliance at the fall meeting of the Philadelphia Society and will have a literature table.

Attendance is for Society members and invited guests only. To inquire about an invitation, email Dr. Cal Beisner: Calvin@cornwallalliance.org.

September 26-27– Lynchburg, VA

Dr. Beisner will be speaking at the Christian Education Initiative Annual Summit, “Advancing Christ’s Kingdom Through Biblical Worldview Education.” 

Details and registration can be found HERE.

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