Is this the End of the Beginning, or the Beginning of the End? On November 10, 1942, after British and Commonwealth forces defeated the Germans and Italians at the Second Battle of El Alamein, taking nearly 30,000 prisoners, Winston Churchill told the British Parliament, “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” In The Hinge of Fate, volume 3 of his marvelous 6-volume history of World War II, published eight years later, he … [Read more...]
Climate Scientists are Steadily Reducing Estimates of Warming from CO2
Among climate scientists specializing in climate sensitivity there is a clear trend toward lower and lower estimates of it, as the chart below shows. Why? Because the empirical measurements of GAT have fallen so much lower than model-generated predictions. In the chart, the dates are dates of publication (bottom axis) of peer-reviewed studies making estimates of climate sensitivity measured in degrees Celsius (left axis). ECS denotes “equilibrium climate sensitivity,” warming predicted in … [Read more...]
Estimates of climate sensitivity falling
Just came across this, and it's stunning. Those who charge CAGW skeptics with being anti-science need to take a look at this and consider carefully: Who's been trending right about how much warming comes from adding CO2 to the atmosphere? For in-depth discussion, see Nicholas Lewis, "Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation," Part 1, Part 2, and Part 3. Featured image from https://landshape.wordpress.com/2015/06/20/6921/. … [Read more...]
